Last ball, India needs 4 runs to win. What is the probability of India winning the game?
Answer: 13.
I can't understand how to calculate it...
Thanx in advance...
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1 Answers
To be perfectly frank, this question is incomplete.....If we assume that the bowler is really good and does not bowl an extra(no/wide), then the foll. can occur:
1. Dot
2. 1 run
2. 2 runs
4. 3 runs
5. 4 runs
6. 6 runs
Then, probability of winning becomes: 26 = 13
However, the real situation is not as simple as this looks....
This is because we have to consider the probabilities of the bowler bowling an extra ball, and this would reduce the probability a little....
i think this is how it has been solved, in a very naive way.... :)
welcome in advance... :)
- Sayan Sinha Thanx... But actually, 5 runs are also possible.Upvote·0· Reply ·2013-06-06 11:16:04
- Sayan Sinha This question had come in IMO class 7 three years back...!
- Sayantan Hazra 3 years back, i guess ICC had not changed many rules!!
- Sayan Sinha :D